The Desire to Acquire
By: John Gartner
Call it Extreme Makeover: Online Edition. A burst of acquisitions
starring many of the industry's biggest players remade the landscape
of online advertising. The walls separating publishers, advertising
networks and agencies crumbled, and parties on all sides are trying
to figure out how to move forward.
The new geography features auction-
based ad exchanges and conglomerated
companies with divisions that
buy, sell and distribute ads: something
that would have been unthinkable a decade
ago. The emergence of these new
entities with intertwined relationships
has the potential to streamline the media
marketplace and drive costs down
and return on investment up. Consolidation
will likely enable the biggest
players to increase their market share
while also growing the demand for independent
agencies and networks that
operate outside of their reach.
Fast and Furious
To recap: In a shorter span than is
required to complete the NHL playoffs,
Google gobbled up DoubleClick,
Yahoo lassoed RightMedia, Microsoft
acquired aQuantive, WPP Group won
24/7 Real Media and AOL absorbed
Ad:Tech AG.
LinkShare, a subsidiary of Internet
services company Rakuten, purchased
lead generation company Traffic Strategies
in June. Rival Commission Junction
is owned by potential acquisition
target ValueClick, and Performics is a
property of Google's DoubleClick.
The acquisition frenzy has made
tracking industry relationships as
challenging as keeping up with the
latest Hollywood romances and legal
tangles. For the first time the largest
media companies own ad networks
and/or agencies, one of the largest
agencies owns a network, plus countless
smaller players also work on both
the buy and sell side. (To untangle the
web, see page 49 of the July/August 2007 issue.)
Consolidation, shakeout, maturation
of the market: Whatever you want to
call it, investment banker John Doyle
of Peachtree Media Advisors says there
are precedents in TV and print industries
for large media companies doing
a "land grab" to acquire related businesses.
"It's like getting a bigger bucket
to stand under a waterfall," he says.
Advertisers are expected to greatly increase
their online spend during the
next few years, so it is not surprising
that the top media companies attempt
to expand their reach by buying companies
offering related services, he says.
Doyle expects the consolidation to
continue as it adds value for buyers,
and more midsize companies will likely
want to increase their heft by scooping
up smaller competitors. However, after
the biggest deals are done, the largest
players are unlikely to buy smaller
shops, as it "won't move the needle" in
increasing their market share, according
to Doyle.
Questions of Perception
The distinction between interactive/
creative agencies, advertising networks
and media companies began to
dissolve through smaller acquisitions
during the past few years, but now
the potential for conflicts of interest
are as clear as they are abundant. That
agencies, ad networks and publishers
are owned by a single organization has
many in the industry uncomfortable.
"Most of the rules of online advertising
are broken ..." says Russ Mann,
CEO of search marketing company
SEMDirector.
By comparison, how would investors
feel if one entity ran the stock market
and owned an analyst firm and a brokerage?
Not too comfortable, most agree.
Not surprisingly, in May, the Federal
Trade Commission began an antitrust
investigation of Google's purchase of
DoubleClick to identify aspects of the
deal that could limit competition.
Publishers might be reticent to
partner with companies owned by a
competitor, according to Dana Ghavami,
CEO of CheckM8, which sells
software to manage rich media campaigns.
For example, ad networks
could prioritize placement based on
the needs of their corporate family
of publishers. "My worry – if I am a
media company such as Viacom or Fox
[which have used DoubleClick's ad
network] – is who is looking after my
interest?" says Ghavami.
Interactive agencies with ties to networks
and media companies have the
most at risk as they are likely to undergo
the most scrutiny to remove any doubts
that they are putting clients first. Trusting
agencies to buy "in-house" is akin
to "asking students to grade their
own tests," according to John Ardis,
vice president of corporate strategy
at ad network ValueClick.
Advertisers looking to optimize
the return on investment from their
media buys will want assurances that
purchasing decisions aren't compromised
by a need to unload excess
inventory from a sister company,
CheckM8's Ghavami says. That's not
a comfortable discussion for those
sitting on either side of the table.
These "umbrella" companies will
have to institute internal safeguards
to prevent the possibility or even the
appearance that their actions are being
influenced by other divisions of
the company.
Advertisers may be unwilling to
place their confidential and sacrosanct
data about campaign performance
in the hands of companies
with divisions that are their direct
competitors. For example, a liquor
company might hesitate before signing
on with a network that is part of
the same company as an agency that
represents a competing brand (see
BT story on page 52 of the July/August 2007 issue).
Similarly, a media giant may not
want its top advertisers' performance
data to be in the hands of a competing
company. "Everyone has seen
what Google is capable of when they
have too much control – they start
setting the rules," says Ghavami. Giving
the enemy the intelligence used
to form your battle plan isn't a strategy
for success.
The Upside of Acquisitions
While organizations that span multiple
aspects of advertising increase
concerns about conflicts of interest,
they should be able to increase efficiency
and lower the cost of buying
and selling. In theory, agencies
would be able to buy from sister
networks without the need for the
sometimes lengthy approval process
that slows insertion orders. Also,
ad networks and their subsidiaries
could combine campaign performance
data with real-time analytics
from their publisher properties
with an ease and granularity not
possible today.
"Microsoft [as one example] would
be able to create bundled solutions
that are more cost-effective and provide
more value at the same price,"
says Dema Zlotin, vice president of
strategic services at SEMDirector.
Advertisers would save time by working
with one-stop shops and could
better adjust campaigns by getting
real-time site-by-site performance to
complement their networkwide data.
Agencies, however, may have to rethink
their fee structure if the purchase
is made from elsewhere within the
company. Continued on Page 2...
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